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topics:uncertainty [2026/04/09 09:02] – vso_vsotopics:uncertainty [2026/04/18 00:58] (current) – vso_vso
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 Energy transitions involve long planning horizons, capital-intensive infrastructure, new actors, and shifting regulatory frameworks. All of this generates both risk and uncertainty in ways that interact and compound. Understanding the difference between the two, and where each comes from in energy systems specifically, is a precondition for designing effective governance responses. Energy transitions involve long planning horizons, capital-intensive infrastructure, new actors, and shifting regulatory frameworks. All of this generates both risk and uncertainty in ways that interact and compound. Understanding the difference between the two, and where each comes from in energy systems specifically, is a precondition for designing effective governance responses.
  
-<WRAP callout> +<WRAP callout> Uncertainty resists calculation, but it can be approached through embracing the inherent diversity of possible futures. </WRAP>
-When decision-makers treat genuine uncertainty as if it were calculable risk, they tend to underinvest in resilience and overestimate the reliability of their forecasts. +
-</WRAP>+
  
 ===== Shared definitions ===== ===== Shared definitions =====