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topics:scenarios [2026/04/24 09:32] – vso_vsotopics:scenarios [2026/04/24 09:35] (current) – vso_vso
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 **South Africa -- Department of Mineral Resources and Energy** \\ **South Africa -- Department of Mineral Resources and Energy** \\
 The Integrated Resource Plan, developed through multi-stakeholder consultation, uses scenarios to weigh coal phase-out pathways against renewable deployment rates and socioeconomic impacts on mining communities.((Department of Mineral Resources and Energy, South Africa. (2019). //Integrated Resource Plan 2019.// DMRE. https://www.dmre.gov.za/Portals/0/Energy_Website/IRP/2019/IRP-2019.pdf)) The Integrated Resource Plan, developed through multi-stakeholder consultation, uses scenarios to weigh coal phase-out pathways against renewable deployment rates and socioeconomic impacts on mining communities.((Department of Mineral Resources and Energy, South Africa. (2019). //Integrated Resource Plan 2019.// DMRE. https://www.dmre.gov.za/Portals/0/Energy_Website/IRP/2019/IRP-2019.pdf))
-</WRAP> 
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-<WRAP case> 
-**European Union -- European Environment Agency** \\ 
-Four imaginaries ranging from technocracy to ecotopia were developed through participatory processes involving citizens, experts, and policymakers across member states to explore contrasting pathways toward sustainability.((European Environment Agency. (2022). //Imagining sustainable futures for Europe in 2050: A co-creation project of the EEA and its country network Eionet// (Web Report No. 16/2021). EEA. https://www.eea.europa.eu/publications/scenarios-for-a-sustainable-europe-2050)) 
 </WRAP> </WRAP>
  
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 <WRAP distinction> <WRAP distinction>
 **Scenario vs. sensitivity analysis** \\ **Scenario vs. sensitivity analysis** \\
-Sensitivity analysis varies a single parameter to test its effect on outcomes. Scenarios vary multiple parameters simultaneously within a coherent narrative, capturing interactions between drivers that sensitivity analysis misses.+Sensitivity analysis varies set of pre-defined parameters to explore effect on the outcomes. Scenarios vary multiple parameters simultaneously within a coherent narrative, capturing interactions between drivers and qualitative implications of underlying conditions that sensitivity analysis might not capture.
 </WRAP> </WRAP>